// Project Portfolio

Lukas
Nilsson

MSCSIS Graduate

Building quantitative tools in market risk, credit risk, and portfolio stress testing, using Python, live market data, and industry-standard methodologies.

// Portfolio at a glance

4
Live risk analytics projects
3
VaR methodologies implemented
5+
Crisis scenarios stress tested
0.81
AUC-ROC on credit model
Python pandas NumPy scikit-learn VaR Monte Carlo Credit Risk R Databricks PySpark
Value at Risk· Monte Carlo Simulation· Credit Scoring· Stress Testing· Correlation Analysis· Expected Loss· Risk Dashboard· Value at Risk· Monte Carlo Simulation· Credit Scoring· Stress Testing· Correlation Analysis· Expected Loss· Risk Dashboard·
01

Projects

01

VaR Backtesting Engine

Python engine implementing Historical, Parametric, and Monte Carlo VaR with rolling backtesting, Kupiec POF statistical validation, and visual diagnostics for portfolio tail risk.

VaRBacktestingKupiec POFMonte CarloSciPy
02

Australian Open 2024 Monte Carlo

Surface-weighted Elo model trained on 3 years of ATP data. Simulates the 2024 AO bracket 100,000 times to estimate title probabilities — Jannik Sinner ranked 2nd at 16.1%.

Monte CarloElo RatingSports AnalyticsNumPy
03

Solar & Geomagnetic Forecasting

R-based time series analysis forecasting sunspot activity, solar flux, and geomagnetic disturbances using ARIMA/SARIMA, Vector ARIMA, and dynamic regression on NOAA space weather data.

RARIMASARIMATime SeriesNOAA
04

Wilmington Rental Pipeline

Databricks medallion ETL pipeline ingesting live rental listings via RentCast API, transforming through Bronze/Silver/Gold layers, and using the Claude AI API to score each listing against preferences.

DatabricksPySparkDelta LakeClaude APIETL
02

About

// Who I am

Lukas
Nilsson

Get in touch

Background

Focused on building practical risk analytics skills to enter the finance sector. Self-directed learner working through market risk, credit risk, and quantitative methods, building every concept into a working tool rather than just studying theory.

Currently learning

Deepening knowledge in quantitative risk methods through self-directed study and hands-on project work, building every concept into a working tool rather than studying theory alone.

Technical skills

Python · pandas · NumPy · SciPy · scikit-learn · SQL · Git · yfinance

Risk domains

Market risk · Credit risk · Operational risk · Stress testing · VaR · CVaR · Expected Loss · Basel III frameworks